Risk intelligence
for real estate.

Every deal has four questions. Prevesta answers them before you sign.

  • Can I build here?Zoning Intelligence
  • Will the city approve it?Entitlement Probability
  • How long will it take?Permit Timelines
  • What will delays cost?Carrying Cost Analysis

Covers LA · SF · NYC · Chicago · Seattle · Austin · Miami

New markets coming soon
app.prevesta.io/projects/arts-district-mixed-use

Permit Timeline Analysis

Arts District Mixed-Use Development

950 E 3rd Street, Los Angeles, CA 90013

Los AngelesCD 14 (Arts District)New Construction — Multi-familyEst. Cost: $12M

Expected (P50)

217 days

~7 months

50% of similar permits complete within this time

Conservative (P75)

342 days

~11 months

75% of similar permits complete within this time

Worst Case (P90)

478 days

~16 months

90% of similar permits complete within this time

Historical Distribution — 449 comparable permits

0d90d180d270d365d450d+
P50 range P75 range P90 range

Permits analyzed

LA · SF · NYC · CHI · SEA · ATX · MIA

7

US markets covered

With district-level granularity

22–621d

Median range across cities

Austin fast · SF extreme · everything in between

The framework

Every deal depends on four questions

Today developers answer them by guessing, calling attorneys, and hoping. Prevesta answers them with data.

1

Can I build here?

Zoning Intelligence

Zoning constraints, FAR limits, height restrictions, parking requirements, and variance probability for your parcel.

739K+ zoning variance outcomes
2

Will the city approve it?

Entitlement Probability

Approval probability score based on municipality, project type, neighborhood opposition history, and planning board behavior patterns.

4M permit outcomes
3

How long will it take?

Permit Timelines

P50/P75/P90 permit timeline predictions based on thousands of comparable permits in your exact jurisdiction and district.

1.8M+ permits across 7 cities
4

What will delays cost?

Carrying Cost Analysis

Monte Carlo simulation translates permit risk into exact carrying cost exposure — dollar by dollar, scenario by scenario.

Monte Carlo simulator included

The product

What Prevesta shows you

A complete permit intelligence dashboard for every project in your pipeline. No more guessing — real data, real predictions, real dollars.

P50/P75/P90 timeline estimates based on 449 comparable permits in your exact district

app.prevesta.io/projects/arts-district-mixed-use

Permit Timeline Analysis

Arts District Mixed-Use Development

950 E 3rd Street, Los Angeles, CA 90013

Los AngelesCD 14 (Arts District)New Construction — Multi-familyEst. Cost: $12M

Expected (P50)

217 days

~7 months

50% of similar permits complete within this time

Conservative (P75)

342 days

~11 months

75% of similar permits complete within this time

Worst Case (P90)

478 days

~16 months

90% of similar permits complete within this time

Historical Distribution — 449 comparable permits

0d90d180d270d365d450d+
P50 range P75 range P90 range

How it works

From address to permit intelligence in under a minute.

01

Enter your address

Drop in any address across our 7 markets. No setup, no account required to preview.

02

Get your intelligence

P50/P75/P90 timelines, entitlement probability, carrying cost exposure, district comparison — in seconds.

03

Underwrite with confidence

Use data-backed timelines to set realistic schedules, stress-test your pro forma, and bring lenders a credible number.

Real data

How long does permitting take in your market?

Select a city and project size to see actual permit timelines and carrying cost exposure.

Approval timelines — Los Angeles

Expected (P50)190 days
Conservative (P75)364 days
Worst case (P90)652 days

Based on 54,455 developer-relevant permits

Carrying cost exposure

Project size$15M
$1M$100M
Daily carry cost$3K/day
At P50 (190 days)$562K
At P90 (652 days)$1.9M
Worst-case exposure$1.4M at risk

At 7.2% APR construction financing

The math is brutal

Permit delays don't just cost time

Every month of delay is a month of construction financing ticking. Here's what that looks like on a real project.

Example: $10M project at 8% loan rate

Monthly carrying cost$66,667 / mo
4-month permit (expected)$267K total carry
8-month permit (conservative)$533K total carry
12-month permit (worst case)$800K total carry

The P90 scenario costs $533K more than P50. That's the risk you're taking without data.

IRR sensitivity to permit duration

On a typical multifamily deal, the difference between a 5-month and 14-month permit process isn't just inconvenient — it cuts your IRR roughly in half.

5-mo permit
18% IRR
9-mo permit
13% IRR
14-mo permit
8% IRR

Typical multifamily assumptions. Actual results vary by market, capital structure, and project size.

Prevesta tells you which scenario is most likely — before you commit capital.

Live permit activity

Where Developers Are Building

New construction permit density across 7 markets.

The platform

Everything in the platform

Eleven modules, one subscription.

Get full access

Permit Timeline Predictions

P50, P75, and P90 estimates based on 1.8M+ permits in your exact jurisdiction and district. Know your expected, likely, and worst-case timeline before you underwrite.

Carrying Cost Analysis

Translate permit risk into dollars. See the exact carrying cost of every extra week at your loan terms — P50 vs P90 expressed as dollars, not just days.

Entitlement Probability

Approval odds scored from 4M terminal-status permits. Know the likelihood your project gets approved — by jurisdiction, permit type, and district — before you bid.

Zoning Intelligence

FAR limits, height restrictions, setbacks, parking requirements, and variance history for any parcel across all 7 markets. Know what you can build before you acquire.

Address Intelligence

Full site picture for any address — active violations, code enforcement history, comp sales, unit pipeline, and development activity. Everything in one dashboard before you commit.

Monte Carlo Simulator

Run 10,000 scenarios to stress-test your pro forma. See the full distribution of outcomes — schedule overruns, carry cost variance, critical path risk — before you sign.

Active Permit Tracker

Flight-tracker for your live permits. Monitor status, inspector assignments, and estimated completion across your entire portfolio in real time.

District & Contractor Comparison

Compare approval times across every council district. See which GCs consistently pull permits faster — and which ones don't.

Lender-Ready Reports

Export a PDF with P50/P75/P90 timelines, interest reserve recommendation, risk scoring, and methodology — formatted for your construction lender or LP.

Lending Intelligence

Construction loan activity from 7,800+ FDIC banks and CMBS deal data — see which lenders are active in your market and at what terms.

Live Permit Map

Interactive permit density map across all 7 cities — color-coded by status, clickable for permit detail. See where development is happening right now.

Ready to stop guessing?

What's the risk on
your next project?

Type an address. Get the full picture.

New markets and deeper data added continuously.